H ere's where Tammy lies today . Hurricane Tammy Evacuation ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has actually strengthened decently because Friday night.
The storm strengthened into a cyclone on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon area for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy needs to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The path northward away from the Caribbean has ended up being less certain. Tammy was initially expected to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer assistance is now recommending that the storm may wander around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Cyclone Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a big and extremely effective hurricane that triggered huge damage and considerable loss of life. It is the costliest typhoon to ever strike the United States, going beyond the record formerly held by Hurricane Andrew from 1992.
Cyclone Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Typhoon Katrina was because of flooding brought on by engineering defects in the flood protection system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, as well as big locations in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone cautions have now been issued for a number of islands in the northeast Caribbean. That suggests cyclone conditions are anticipated in a few of these areas. You can see the current cautions and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy need to spread across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through at least early Sunday in some areas.
Rain overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (locally approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rains (locally as much as 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might cause flooding and mudslides in a few of these locations.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center stated.
Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were occurring over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is expected to be somewhat weaker by the time it hits land, however it still will be a hurricane that could bring dangerous conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a few hundred thousand individuals, the cyclone center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, on the other hand, Typhoon Tammy-- a Category 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has actually triggered cyclone warnings for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island countries and territories in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a danger to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy kept maximum sustained winds of 85 mph and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 hurricane lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center said.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outward approximately 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are uncommon for late October. Tammy is only the third hurricane to form this far southeast in the Atlantic since 1900, according to cyclone professional Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming cyclone in this part of the Atlantic because 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Hurricane professionals previously warned cyclones might form in unusual locations later in the season this year because of the incredibly warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most severe risks and might lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall overalls for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain ought to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will start to improve from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy